Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Deportivo Alavés: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 26/10/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano Home 1.18 xG · 15 shots

Deportivo Alavés Away 0.84 xG · 12 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

90' Alemão Rayo Vallecano · 0.25 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Rayo Vallecano Deportivo Alavés

Shots: 15; 12
On target: 5; 2
Inside the box: 8; 6
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.08
Open play xG: 1.05; 0.90
Set-piece xG: 0.18; 0.05
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.18 for Rayo Vallecano and 0.97 for Deportivo Alavés.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.18 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Rayo Vallecano
Deportivo Alavés
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rayo Vallecano

1.31 xG created 1.42 xGA

L 1.04 created, 1.77 conceded against Osasuna
D 0.99 created, 0.81 conceded against Celta Vigo
L 1.60 created, 3.61 conceded against Atlético Madrid
L 1.89 created, 0.63 conceded against Sevilla
W 0.80 created, 0.79 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.55 created, 0.91 conceded against Levante UD

Deportivo Alavés

0.92 xG created 0.56 xGA

W 0.09 created, 1.08 conceded against Athletic Club
L 0.95 created, 0.48 conceded against Sevilla
D 0.57 created, 0.24 conceded against Getafe
L 0.78 created, 0.74 conceded against Mallorca
W 2.42 created, 0.38 conceded against Elche
D 0.74 created, 0.45 conceded against Valencia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.