Real Sociedad 0:1 Rayo Vallecano: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 05/10/2025 at 18:30

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Match report · La Liga

Real Sociedad Home 0.79 xG · 10 shots

Rayo Vallecano Away 0.80 xG · 7 shots

01 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

84' Pacha Rayo Vallecano · 0.42 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Real Sociedad Rayo Vallecano

Shots: 10; 7
On target: 3; 2
Inside the box: 7; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.62; 0.70
Set-piece xG: 0.19; 0.08
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.82 for Real Sociedad and 0.80 for Rayo Vallecano.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

17 shots · 1.59 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Sociedad

1.47 xG created 1.66 xGA

D 1.10 created, 1.84 conceded against Espanyol
L 1.10 created, 0.45 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 2.23 created, 2.42 conceded against Real Madrid
L 0.67 created, 2.25 conceded against Real Betis
W 2.76 created, 0.76 conceded against Mallorca
L 0.97 created, 2.21 conceded against Barcelona

Rayo Vallecano

1.28 xG created 1.69 xGA

L 0.29 created, 1.51 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.85 created, 1.83 conceded against Barcelona
L 1.04 created, 1.77 conceded against Osasuna
D 0.99 created, 0.81 conceded against Celta Vigo
L 1.60 created, 3.61 conceded against Atlético Madrid
L 1.89 created, 0.63 conceded against Sevilla

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.