Valencia 1:1 Elche: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 10/01/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Valencia Home 1.96 xG · 16 shots

Elche Away 0.16 xG · 5 shots

11 Valencia had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

75' Grady Diangana Elche · 0.04 xG chance 0–1
87' Pepelu (pen.) Valencia · 0.82 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Valencia Elche

Shots: 16; 5
On target: 4; 1
Inside the box: 11; 3
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.03
Open play xG: 0.68; 0.09
Set-piece xG: 0.49; 0.07
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.17 for Valencia.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.15 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Valencia
Elche
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Valencia

1.31 xG created 1.05 xGA

W 1.40 created, 0.75 conceded against Levante UD
D 0.71 created, 1.30 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
D 1.19 created, 0.32 conceded against Sevilla
L 1.17 created, 1.01 conceded against Atlético Madrid
D 1.42 created, 0.19 conceded against Mallorca
L 1.94 created, 2.70 conceded against Celta Vigo

Elche

1.33 xG created 1.73 xGA

D 1.44 created, 3.49 conceded against Real Madrid
L 0.51 created, 1.06 conceded against Getafe
W 2.03 created, 0.94 conceded against Girona FC
L 0.29 created, 2.44 conceded against Mallorca
W 2.40 created, 0.92 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
L 1.31 created, 1.52 conceded against Villarreal

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.