Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Valencia: xG & match report · La Liga

Monday, 01/12/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano Home 1.30 xG · 19 shots

Valencia Away 0.71 xG · 10 shots

11 Rayo Vallecano had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

37' Nobel Mendy Rayo Vallecano · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
64' Diego López Valencia · 0.08 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Rayo Vallecano Valencia

Shots: 19; 10
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 9; 6
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.83; 0.57
Set-piece xG: 0.49; 0.12
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.33 for Rayo Vallecano and 0.71 for Valencia.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 2.01 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rayo Vallecano

1.12 xG created 1.16 xGA

W 0.80 created, 0.79 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.55 created, 0.91 conceded against Levante UD
W 1.18 created, 0.84 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 1.02 created, 3.02 conceded against Villarreal
D 1.20 created, 0.98 conceded against Real Madrid
D 0.95 created, 0.43 conceded against Real Oviedo

Valencia

1.04 xG created 1.52 xGA

L 1.21 created, 1.02 conceded against Girona FC
D 0.45 created, 0.74 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.80 created, 2.18 conceded against Villarreal
L 0.46 created, 2.80 conceded against Real Madrid
D 1.94 created, 1.60 conceded against Real Betis
W 1.40 created, 0.75 conceded against Levante UD

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.