Villarreal 4:0 Rayo Vallecano: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 01/11/2025 at 14:00

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Match report · La Liga

Villarreal Home 3.02 xG · 16 shots

Rayo Vallecano Away 1.02 xG · 13 shots

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

22' Gerard Moreno Villarreal · 0.07 xG chance 1–0
56' Alberto Moleiro Villarreal · 0.08 xG chance 2–0
58' Santi Comesaña Villarreal · 0.65 xG chance 3–0
65' Ayoze Pérez Villarreal · 0.45 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

Villarreal Rayo Vallecano

Shots: 16; 13
On target: 7; 3
Inside the box: 11; 7
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.07
Open play xG: 3.08; 0.92
Set-piece xG: 0.16; 0.02
Penalties: —; —

Villarreal's shots add up to 3.24 xG and Rayo Vallecano's to 0.94; the published figures are 3.02 and 1.02.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 4.18 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Villarreal

1.59 xG created 1.62 xGA

W 2.55 created, 1.80 conceded against Osasuna
W 1.95 created, 0.97 conceded against Sevilla
W 1.22 created, 1.44 conceded against Athletic Club
L 1.00 created, 3.52 conceded against Real Madrid
D 0.66 created, 1.18 conceded against Real Betis
W 2.18 created, 0.80 conceded against Valencia

Rayo Vallecano

1.34 xG created 1.27 xGA

D 0.99 created, 0.81 conceded against Celta Vigo
L 1.60 created, 3.61 conceded against Atlético Madrid
L 1.89 created, 0.63 conceded against Sevilla
W 0.80 created, 0.79 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.55 created, 0.91 conceded against Levante UD
W 1.18 created, 0.84 conceded against Deportivo Alavés

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.