Villarreal 2:1 Celta Vigo: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 26/04/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Villarreal Home 1.89 xG · 13 shots

Celta Vigo Away 1.98 xG · 9 shots

21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

2' Gerard Moreno (pen.) Villarreal · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
29' Nicolas Pépé Villarreal · 0.11 xG chance 2–0
73' Borja Iglesias (pen.) Celta Vigo · 0.82 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Villarreal Celta Vigo

Shots: 13; 9
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 8; 8
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.23
Open play xG: 0.94; 1.10
Set-piece xG: 0.06; 0.18
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.97 for Villarreal and 1.29 for Celta Vigo.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 3.92 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Villarreal

1.49 xG created 0.85 xGA

W 1.62 created, 1.29 conceded against Elche
D 0.54 created, 0.21 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
W 3.51 created, 1.18 conceded against Real Sociedad
L 0.59 created, 0.48 conceded against Girona FC
W 1.31 created, 1.16 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.39 created, 0.80 conceded against Real Oviedo

Celta Vigo

1.13 xG created 1.31 xGA

L 1.05 created, 0.87 conceded against Real Madrid
D 0.56 created, 1.49 conceded against Real Betis
L 1.82 created, 1.73 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
W 1.04 created, 0.81 conceded against Valencia
L 0.91 created, 1.71 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 1.41 created, 1.23 conceded against Barcelona

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Villarreal: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Celta Vigo 1:1 Villarreal 31/08/2025 xG 0.68 – 1.15

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.