Celta Vigo 1:2 Real Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Friday, 06/03/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Celta Vigo Home 1.05 xG · 8 shots

Real Madrid Away 0.87 xG · 14 shots

12 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

11' Aurélien Tchouaméni Real Madrid · 0.07 xG chance 0–1
25' Borja Iglesias Celta Vigo · 0.52 xG chance 1–1
90' Federico Valverde Real Madrid · 0.06 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Celta Vigo Real Madrid

Shots: 8; 14
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 7; 7
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.94; 0.73
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.13
Penalties: —; —

Celta Vigo's shots add up to 1.02 xG and Real Madrid's to 0.86; the published figures are 1.05 and 0.87.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 1.88 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Celta Vigo

1.58 xG created 0.83 xGA

L 1.22 created, 1.61 conceded against Real Sociedad
D 0.18 created, 0.35 conceded against Getafe
L 2.16 created, 0.66 conceded against Osasuna
D 2.74 created, 0.71 conceded against Espanyol
W 2.58 created, 0.04 conceded against Mallorca
W 0.60 created, 1.63 conceded against Girona FC

Real Madrid

1.85 xG created 1.03 xGA

W 1.58 created, 0.58 conceded against Villarreal
W 2.14 created, 0.96 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 1.03 created, 0.44 conceded against Valencia
W 3.10 created, 1.67 conceded against Real Sociedad
L 1.69 created, 2.05 conceded against Osasuna
L 1.57 created, 0.49 conceded against Getafe

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Celta Vigo: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Real Madrid 0:2 Celta Vigo 07/12/2025 xG 2.29 – 1.55

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.