Valencia 0:2 Real Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 08/02/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Valencia Home 0.44 xG · 7 shots

Real Madrid Away 1.03 xG · 11 shots

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

65' Álvaro Carreras Real Madrid · 0.24 xG chance 0–1
90' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid · 0.40 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Valencia Real Madrid

Shots: 7; 11
On target: 0; 6
Inside the box: 4; 7
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.34; 0.95
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 0.08
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.44 for Valencia.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 1.48 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Valencia
Real Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Valencia

1.80 xG created 1.14 xGA

D 1.42 created, 0.19 conceded against Mallorca
L 1.94 created, 2.70 conceded against Celta Vigo
D 1.96 created, 0.16 conceded against Elche
W 1.02 created, 0.62 conceded against Getafe
W 2.55 created, 1.35 conceded against Espanyol
L 1.89 created, 1.82 conceded against Real Betis

Real Madrid

2.28 xG created 1.05 xGA

W 1.83 created, 1.36 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
W 2.33 created, 1.56 conceded against Sevilla
W 2.94 created, 1.06 conceded against Real Betis
W 2.88 created, 0.80 conceded against Levante UD
W 1.58 created, 0.58 conceded against Villarreal
W 2.14 created, 0.96 conceded against Rayo Vallecano

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Valencia: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Real Madrid 4:0 Valencia 01/11/2025 xG 2.80 – 0.46

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.