Real Madrid 2:0 Levante UD: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 14:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Real Madrid Home 2.88 xG · 26 shots

Levante UD Away 0.80 xG · 10 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

58' Kylian Mbappé (pen.) Real Madrid · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
65' Raúl Asencio Real Madrid · 0.04 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Real Madrid Levante UD

Shots: 26; 10
On target: 11; 0
Inside the box: 15; 5
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.08
Open play xG: 1.61; 0.42
Set-piece xG: 0.46; 0.37
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.09 for Real Madrid and 0.77 for Levante UD.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

36 shots · 3.68 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Madrid
Levante UD
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Madrid

2.36 xG created 1.19 xGA

D 2.53 created, 0.79 conceded against Girona FC
W 2.21 created, 0.84 conceded against Athletic Club
L 2.29 created, 1.55 conceded against Celta Vigo
W 1.83 created, 1.36 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
W 2.33 created, 1.56 conceded against Sevilla
W 2.94 created, 1.06 conceded against Real Betis

Levante UD

0.99 xG created 1.60 xGA

L 0.75 created, 1.40 conceded against Valencia
L 1.29 created, 2.95 conceded against Athletic Club
L 0.46 created, 0.81 conceded against Osasuna
D 1.29 created, 1.38 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.03 created, 1.70 conceded against Sevilla
D 1.11 created, 1.36 conceded against Espanyol

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Real Madrid: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Levante UD 1:4 Real Madrid 23/09/2025 xG 1.60 – 3.94

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.