Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Real Madrid Home 3.10 xG · 11 shots

Real Sociedad Away 1.67 xG · 13 shots

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

5' Gonzalo García Real Madrid · 0.38 xG chance 1–0
21' Mikel Oyarzabal (pen.) Real Sociedad · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
25' Vinícius Júnior (pen.) Real Madrid · 0.82 xG chance 2–1
31' Federico Valverde Real Madrid · 0.11 xG chance 3–1
48' Vinícius Júnior (pen.) Real Madrid · 0.82 xG chance 4–1

The shots behind it

Real Madrid Real Sociedad

Shots: 11; 13
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 9; 10
xG per shot: 0.29; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.49; 0.52
Set-piece xG: 0.02; 0.39
Penalties: 2; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.52 for Real Madrid and 0.88 for Real Sociedad.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 4.88 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Madrid

2.15 xG created 0.90 xGA

W 2.33 created, 1.56 conceded against Sevilla
W 2.94 created, 1.06 conceded against Real Betis
W 2.88 created, 0.80 conceded against Levante UD
W 1.58 created, 0.58 conceded against Villarreal
W 2.14 created, 0.96 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 1.03 created, 0.44 conceded against Valencia

Real Sociedad

1.65 xG created 1.44 xGA

D 1.73 created, 1.25 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 1.11 created, 0.24 conceded against Getafe
W 1.01 created, 3.69 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.61 created, 1.22 conceded against Celta Vigo
D 1.83 created, 1.07 conceded against Athletic Club
W 2.59 created, 1.18 conceded against Elche

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Real Madrid: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Real Sociedad 1:2 Real Madrid 13/09/2025 xG 2.23 – 2.42

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.