xgEdge

Expected goals

Benfica expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Liga Portugal · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Benfica's attacking and defensive expected goals in Liga Portugal 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Benfica xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.32 xG per match
#1/18
Attack (xG per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Benfica 2.32
#2 FC Porto 2.26
#3 Sporting 2.01
#4 Vitória SC 1.77
#5 FC Alverca 1.40
#6 Santa Clara 1.35
#7 Gil Vicente 1.31
#8 Académico Viseu FC 1.30
#9 Sporting Braga 1.25
#10 FC Arouca 1.24
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 1.23
#12 CD Nacional 1.15
#13 Famalicão 0.99
#14 Marítimo 0.94
#15 Casa Pia 0.89
#16 Estoril Praia 0.85
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.54
League avg
1.31
Total
16.22 7 matches
Defence
0.65 xGA per match
#2/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Sporting Braga 0.65
#2 Benfica 0.65
#3 Santa Clara 0.69
#4 Vitória SC 0.77
#5 Sporting 0.79
#6 Gil Vicente 0.88
#7 FC Porto 0.98
#8 Famalicão 1.25
#9 Marítimo 1.32
#10 FC Arouca 1.38
#11 Estoril Praia 1.62
#12 CF Estrela Amadora 1.63
#13 Académico Viseu FC 1.71
#14 Moreirense 1.73
#15 FC Alverca 1.74
#16 Casa Pia 1.77
#17 CD Nacional 1.87
#18 Rio Ave 1.92
League avg
1.31
Total
4.58 7 matches
xG difference
+1.66 xGD per match
#1/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Benfica +1.66
#2 FC Porto +1.28
#3 Sporting +1.22
#4 Vitória SC +0.99
#5 Santa Clara +0.67
#6 Sporting Braga +0.60
#7 Gil Vicente +0.43
#8 FC Arouca -0.14
#9 Famalicão -0.26
#10 FC Alverca -0.34
#11 Marítimo -0.38
#12 CF Estrela Amadora -0.40
#13 Académico Viseu FC -0.41
#14 CD Nacional -0.72
#15 Estoril Praia -0.76
#16 Casa Pia -0.87
#17 Moreirense -1.06
#18 Rio Ave -1.38
League avg
0.00
Total
+11.64 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.40 xPts per match
#1/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Benfica 2.40
#2 FC Porto 2.22
#3 Sporting 2.17
#4 Vitória SC 1.96
#5 Santa Clara 1.93
#6 Sporting Braga 1.83
#7 Gil Vicente 1.76
#8 FC Arouca 1.37
#9 Famalicão 1.18
#10 CF Estrela Amadora 1.13
#11 Académico Viseu FC 1.08
#12 Marítimo 1.07
#13 CD Nacional 1.06
#14 FC Alverca 1.06
#15 Casa Pia 0.91
#16 Estoril Praia 0.82
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.46
League avg
1.39
Total
16.82 vs 16 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Benfica's underlying numbers are league-leading. They rank #1 for xG difference at +1.66 per match, driven by both elite shot volume and high chance quality. Their 22 goals are 5.78 above 16.22 xG, while 16 points are 0.82 below 16.82 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.45 xG from penalties
22 16.22 +5.78 scored 5.78 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
7 4.58 +2.42 conceded 2.42 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
16 16.82 -0.82 0.82 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Benfica are 5.78 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
22
xG
16.22
Gap
+5.78
Sun 09/08 Mon 17/08 Mon 31/08 Sat 05/09 Wed 09/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 -1.11 +2.85 +2.82 +4.51 +5.52 +5.62 +5.78 -1.11 +3.96 -0.03 +1.69 +1.01 +0.10 +0.16 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Benfica: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 Académico Viseu FC 2 3.11 -1.11 -1.11
Mon 17/08 Casa Pia 7 3.04 +3.96 +2.85
Mon 31/08 Estoril Praia 2 2.03 -0.03 +2.82
Sat 05/09 Marítimo 3 1.31 +1.69 +4.51
Wed 09/09 Moreirense 4 2.99 +1.01 +5.52
Sun 13/09 Gil Vicente 3 2.90 +0.10 +5.62
Sun 20/09 FC Porto 1 0.84 +0.16 +5.78

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Benfica xG trend

Current form +1.37 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 7 matches. The only negative was against FC Porto on Sun 20/09 (-0.47).

npxG · last 6
1.94
npxGA · last 6
0.57
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +1.95 Sun 09/08 +3.02 Mon 17/08 +1.67 Mon 31/08 +1.17 Sat 05/09 +1.83 Wed 09/09 +1.00 Sun 13/09 -0.47 Sun 20/09 +1.45 season avg
Benfica: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 Académico Viseu FC 3.13 1.18 +1.95 +1.95
Mon 17/08 Casa Pia 3.14 0.12 +3.02 +2.49
Mon 31/08 Estoril Praia 2.03 0.36 +1.67 +2.21
Sat 05/09 Marítimo 1.30 0.13 +1.17 +1.95
Wed 09/09 Moreirense 2.22 0.39 +1.83 +1.93
Sun 13/09 Gil Vicente 2.11 1.11 +1.00 +1.77
Sun 20/09 FC Porto 0.84 1.31 -0.47 +1.45

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.11 npxG and 0.66 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 18 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
−0.15 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 15 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
−0.12 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.15 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 18 hardest of 18

  1. FC Porto Away +0.47
  2. Gil Vicente Home +0.06
  3. Moreirense Away −0.54
  4. Marítimo Away −0.23
  5. Estoril Praia Home −0.36
  6. Casa Pia Away −0.35
  7. Académico Viseu FC Home −0.07

Last 5

−0.12 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 15 hardest of 18

  1. FC Porto Away +0.47
  2. Gil Vicente Home +0.06
  3. Moreirense Away −0.54
  4. Marítimo Away −0.23
  5. Estoril Praia Home −0.36

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Benfica shots and chance quality

High volume, high quality. Benfica take 19.1 shots a match (league 12.2) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =1 in Liga Portugal for volume and #4 for quality. 73% of their shots come from inside the box (league 63%), and set pieces produce 21% of their npxG (league 22%).

Attack

Shot volume
19.1 shots per match
=1/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 Benfica 19.1
=1 Vitória SC 19.1
#3 FC Porto 16.0
#4 Gil Vicente 14.0
#5 Sporting 13.4
=6 CF Estrela Amadora 13.1
=6 Santa Clara 13.1
#8 Estoril Praia 12.7
#9 Sporting Braga 12.5
#10 FC Alverca 11.9
#11 FC Arouca 10.9
#12 CD Nacional 10.7
#13 Marítimo 10.4
#14 Casa Pia 10.3
#15 Famalicão 9.6
#16 Académico Viseu FC 9.3
#17 Moreirense 7.3
#18 Rio Ave 7.1
League avg
12.2
Total
134 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#4/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Académico Viseu FC 0.15
#2 Sporting 0.14
#3 FC Porto 0.12
#4 Benfica 0.11
#5 FC Alverca 0.11
#6 FC Arouca 0.11
#7 CD Nacional 0.10
#8 Sporting Braga 0.10
#9 Santa Clara 0.10
#10 Famalicão 0.09
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 0.09
#12 Vitória SC 0.09
#13 Marítimo 0.08
#14 Moreirense 0.08
#15 Gil Vicente 0.07
#16 Casa Pia 0.07
#17 Estoril Praia 0.06
#18 Rio Ave 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
14.77 npxG from 134 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
7.6 shots per match
#2/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Vitória SC 7.1
#2 Benfica 7.6
#3 Santa Clara 8.1
#4 Sporting 8.6
#5 Sporting Braga 8.7
#6 Gil Vicente 9.8
#7 FC Porto 10.7
#8 CF Estrela Amadora 11.6
#9 Famalicão 12.0
#10 FC Alverca 12.1
#11 Marítimo 13.4
#12 Estoril Praia 13.9
#13 FC Arouca 14.9
#14 CD Nacional 15.1
=15 Casa Pia 15.7
=15 Moreirense 15.7
#17 Rio Ave 16.9
#18 Académico Viseu FC 17.6
League avg
12.2
Total
53 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#7/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Sporting Braga 0.06
#2 Santa Clara 0.07
#3 Gil Vicente 0.08
#4 Sporting 0.08
#5 FC Porto 0.08
#6 Académico Viseu FC 0.08
#7 Benfica 0.09
#8 Marítimo 0.09
#9 FC Arouca 0.09
#10 Famalicão 0.10
#11 Casa Pia 0.10
#12 Moreirense 0.10
#13 CD Nacional 0.10
#14 Estoril Praia 0.11
#15 Rio Ave 0.11
#16 Vitória SC 0.11
#17 CF Estrela Amadora 0.12
#18 FC Alverca 0.13
League avg
0.10
Total
4.60 npxGA from 53 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

73% inside the box

League avg 63%

From 98 of 134 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

70% allowed inside the box

League avg 63%

From 37 of 53 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

79% open play · 21% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 3.1 of 14.7 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

68% open play · 32% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 1.5 of 4.6 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Benfica home and away xG

Benfica per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 2.68 2.05
xGA / match 0.88 0.48
xGD / match +1.80 +1.56
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.55 2.29

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Benfica match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
2.01
xGA / match
0.66
xGD / match
+1.36
Points
12 of 15
  1. Sun 20/09 FC Porto A Weakest underlying xG 0.84 xGA 1.30 xGD -0.46
  2. Sun 13/09 Gil Vicente H xG 2.90 P xGA 1.11 xGD +1.79
  3. Wed 09/09 Moreirense A Best underlying xG 2.99 P xGA 0.39 xGD +2.60
  4. Sat 05/09 Marítimo A xG 1.31 xGA 0.12 xGD +1.19
  5. Mon 31/08 Estoril Praia H xG 2.03 xGA 0.36 xGD +1.67

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Benfica in Liga Portugal

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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