Liga Portugal expected points table 2026/2027
Every Liga Portugal club ranked on the points its match-by-match chances were worth, with the position the real table gives it and the distance between the two.
Benfica lead on expected points with 16.82 over 7 matches with xG. That is 1.25 clear of FC Porto. Moreirense sit 5 places higher in the table than their chances place them: 12 against 17 on expected points. Vitória SC sit 10 places lower in the table than their chances place them: 14 against 4 on expected points.
Table against xPts
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
- Fewer than 3 places apart
Ranked on expected points
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | Pts vs xPts | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica BEN | 7 | 16 | 16.82 | −0.82 | 2 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 2 | FC Porto FCP | 7 | 21 | 15.57 | +5.43 | 1 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 3 | Sporting SPO | 7 | 15 | 15.20 | −0.20 | 3 | Same place as on expected points |
| 4 | Vitória SC VIT | 7 | 5 | 13.72 | −8.72 | 14 | 10 places below its expected-points rank |
| 5 | Santa Clara SAN | 7 | 15 | 13.54 | +1.46 | 4 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 6 | Sporting Braga SPO | 6 | 11 | 10.98 | +0.02 | 6 | Same place as on expected points |
| 7 | Gil Vicente GIL | 6 | 8 | 10.59 | −2.59 | 9 | 2 places below its expected-points rank |
| 8 | FC Arouca FCA | 7 | 11 | 9.57 | +1.43 | 5 | 3 places above its expected-points rank |
| 9 | Famalicão FAM | 7 | 7 | 8.23 | −1.23 | 13 | 4 places below its expected-points rank |
| 10 | CF Estrela Amadora CFE | 7 | 10 | 7.88 | +2.12 | 8 | 2 places above its expected-points rank |
| 11 | Académico Viseu FC ACA | 7 | 11 | 7.58 | +3.42 | 7 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 12 | Marítimo MAR | 7 | 8 | 7.50 | +0.50 | 11 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 13 | CD Nacional CDN | 7 | 4 | 7.40 | −3.40 | 15 | 2 places below its expected-points rank |
| 14 | FC Alverca FCA | 7 | 8 | 7.39 | +0.61 | 10 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 15 | Casa Pia CAS | 7 | 4 | 6.40 | −2.40 | 17 | 2 places below its expected-points rank |
| 16 | Estoril Praia EST | 7 | 2 | 5.71 | −3.71 | 18 | 2 places below its expected-points rank |
| 17 | Moreirense MOR | 7 | 8 | 4.76 | +3.24 | 12 | 5 places above its expected-points rank |
| 18 | Rio Ave RIO | 7 | 4 | 3.20 | +0.80 | 16 | 2 places above its expected-points rank |
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
A gap can come from finishing, goalkeeping, game state or chance. xG and xPts are model estimates, not the result a team deserved.
About these figures What each column measures, and the thresholds this ranking is under. Show Hide
- P
- — Matches played
- Pts
- — Points
- xPts
- — Expected points: the points a team's match-by-match xG would be worth on average.
- Pts vs xPts
- — Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
- Actual
- — Position in the real table
- Diff
- — Places between this ranking and the real table. Up is a club higher in the real table than its expected points place it.
Every club with expected goals behind it is ranked here: these are season totals rather than rates, so a club is not held back by having played fewer matches. The ranking opens once the median club has played 3.