Casa Pia 2:1 FC Porto: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Monday, 02/02/2026 at 21:45

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Home 0.97 xG

FC Porto Away 2.02 xG

21 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Casa Pia FC Porto

Shots: 6; 15
On target: 3; 6
Inside the box: 3; 10
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.13

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Casa Pia

0.90 xG created 1.94 xGA

D 0.24 created, 0.83 conceded against Gil Vicente
W 1.15 created, 1.75 conceded against Tondela
D 0.39 created, 1.16 conceded against Vitória SC
L 1.84 created, 2.38 conceded against Rio Ave
L 0.19 created, 2.30 conceded against Sporting
D 1.59 created, 3.24 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD

FC Porto

2.09 xG created 0.58 xGA

W 2.89 created, 0.18 conceded against CF Estrela Amadora
W 1.45 created, 0.73 conceded against FC Alverca
W 2.50 created, 0.29 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
W 1.11 created, 0.26 conceded against Santa Clara
W 2.29 created, 1.46 conceded against Vitória SC
W 2.29 created, 0.55 conceded against Gil Vicente

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Casa Pia: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

FC Porto 4:0 Casa Pia 24/08/2025 xG 2.63 – 0.22

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.