Estoril Praia 1:1 CD Nacional: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Sunday, 26/10/2025 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

Estoril Praia Home 1.76 xG

CD Nacional Away 1.20 xG

11 Estoril Praia had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Estoril Praia CD Nacional

Shots: 13; 9
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 10; 7
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.13

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Estoril Praia

1.05 xG created 1.67 xGA

D 2.11 created, 2.79 conceded against Tondela
L 0.70 created, 1.59 conceded against Santa Clara
W 1.68 created, 0.95 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
L 0.32 created, 2.39 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 0.21 created, 1.21 conceded against Sporting
D 1.28 created, 1.11 conceded against Casa Pia

CD Nacional

1.43 xG created 1.50 xGA

L 0.72 created, 2.67 conceded against Sporting
W 1.24 created, 0.66 conceded against Casa Pia
L 0.08 created, 1.88 conceded against FC Porto
L 2.47 created, 1.10 conceded against FC Arouca
W 1.33 created, 0.58 conceded against Sporting Braga
W 2.73 created, 2.09 conceded against Moreirense

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.