Estoril Praia 1:3 FC Porto: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Sunday, 12/04/2026 at 21:30

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

Estoril Praia Home 0.39 xG

FC Porto Away 2.69 xG

13 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Estoril Praia FC Porto

Shots: 8; 20
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 5; 11
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.13

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Estoril Praia

1.14 xG created 1.76 xGA

W 2.18 created, 2.42 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 0.62 created, 2.26 conceded against Sporting
D 0.65 created, 1.47 conceded against Casa Pia
W 1.12 created, 0.80 conceded against CD Nacional
L 1.15 created, 1.65 conceded against Rio Ave
L 1.12 created, 1.98 conceded against FC Arouca

FC Porto

1.83 xG created 0.76 xGA

W 1.95 created, 0.24 conceded against Rio Ave
W 3.16 created, 0.24 conceded against FC Arouca
D 2.14 created, 1.30 conceded against Benfica
W 2.13 created, 0.14 conceded against Moreirense
W 1.19 created, 0.99 conceded against Sporting Braga
D 0.43 created, 1.62 conceded against Famalicão

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Estoril Praia: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

FC Porto 1:0 Estoril Praia 30/11/2025 xG 1.41 – 1.11

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.