xgEdge

Friday, 27/02/2026 at 19:45

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Match report · Liga Portugal

FC Porto 3:1 FC Arouca

FC Porto Home 3.16 xG
FC Arouca Away 0.24 xG
31 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

FC Porto FC Arouca
Shots
20
7
On target
7
1
Inside the box
12
4
xG per shot
0.16
0.03

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FC Porto

1.63 xG created 0.86 xGA

  • W 2.29 created, 1.46 conceded against Vitória SC
  • W 2.29 created, 0.55 conceded against Gil Vicente
  • L 2.02 created, 0.97 conceded against Casa Pia
  • D 0.77 created, 1.29 conceded against Sporting
  • W 0.45 created, 0.65 conceded against CD Nacional
  • W 1.95 created, 0.24 conceded against Rio Ave
FC Arouca

1.43 xG created 1.18 xGA

  • W 1.15 created, 0.58 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
  • L 1.10 created, 1.05 conceded against Sporting
  • W 1.47 created, 0.69 conceded against Rio Ave
  • W 1.72 created, 1.68 conceded against Vitória SC
  • L 1.23 created, 2.07 conceded against Casa Pia
  • W 1.92 created, 0.99 conceded against CD Nacional

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Porto: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.