Estoril Praia 4:2 Vitória SC: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 21:30

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Estoril Praia Home 2.08 xG

Vitória SC Away 2.04 xG

42 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

Estoril Praia Vitória SC

Shots: 16; 13
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 9; 10
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.16

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Estoril Praia

1.54 xG created 1.80 xGA

D 1.88 created, 2.41 conceded against Moreirense
L 0.81 created, 2.88 conceded against Famalicão
W 2.13 created, 2.19 conceded against Sporting Braga
W 1.30 created, 0.75 conceded against FC Alverca
L 0.83 created, 2.32 conceded against Benfica
W 2.29 created, 0.22 conceded against CF Estrela Amadora

Vitória SC

1.07 xG created 1.24 xGA

D 0.45 created, 0.22 conceded against Gil Vicente
W 1.73 created, 0.45 conceded against Rio Ave
L 0.73 created, 2.58 conceded against Sporting
D 1.16 created, 0.39 conceded against Casa Pia
W 0.87 created, 1.50 conceded against CD Nacional
L 1.46 created, 2.29 conceded against FC Porto

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Estoril Praia: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Vitória SC 3:2 Estoril Praia 16/08/2025 xG 1.99 – 1.11

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.