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Friday, 02/01/2026 at 21:45

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Vitória SC 2:1 CD Nacional

Vitória SC Home 0.87 xG
CD Nacional Away 1.50 xG
21 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Vitória SC CD Nacional
Shots
9
14
On target
4
4
Inside the box
7
9
xG per shot
0.10
0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Vitória SC

1.16 xG created 0.98 xGA

  • W 1.27 created, 1.05 conceded against Tondela
  • W 1.60 created, 1.20 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
  • D 0.45 created, 0.22 conceded against Gil Vicente
  • W 1.73 created, 0.45 conceded against Rio Ave
  • L 0.73 created, 2.58 conceded against Sporting
  • D 1.16 created, 0.39 conceded against Casa Pia
CD Nacional

1.13 xG created 2.18 xGA

  • L 0.46 created, 1.53 conceded against Famalicão
  • D 1.26 created, 2.22 conceded against CF Estrela Amadora
  • L 0.50 created, 2.68 conceded against Benfica
  • L 0.92 created, 2.07 conceded against FC Alverca
  • W 2.35 created, 3.28 conceded against Tondela
  • D 1.30 created, 1.27 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.