CF Estrela Amadora 1:1 CD Nacional: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Sunday, 09/11/2025 at 16:30

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Match report · Liga Portugal

CF Estrela Amadora Home 2.22 xG

CD Nacional Away 1.26 xG

11 CF Estrela Amadora had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

CF Estrela Amadora CD Nacional

Shots: 14; 17
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 8; 12
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

CF Estrela Amadora

1.36 xG created 1.33 xGA

L 0.51 created, 1.54 conceded against Vitória SC
D 1.08 created, 1.15 conceded against Tondela
W 2.70 created, 1.04 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
L 0.98 created, 2.36 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 0.82 created, 0.86 conceded against Rio Ave
W 2.08 created, 1.02 conceded against Casa Pia

CD Nacional

1.38 xG created 1.49 xGA

L 0.08 created, 1.88 conceded against FC Porto
L 2.47 created, 1.10 conceded against FC Arouca
W 1.33 created, 0.58 conceded against Sporting Braga
W 2.73 created, 2.09 conceded against Moreirense
D 1.20 created, 1.76 conceded against Estoril Praia
L 0.46 created, 1.53 conceded against Famalicão

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.