xgEdge

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 16:30

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Moreirense 2:1 Casa Pia

Moreirense Home 0.97 xG
Casa Pia Away 1.76 xG
21 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Moreirense Casa Pia
Shots
12
20
On target
4
4
Inside the box
8
13
xG per shot
0.08
0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Moreirense

1.20 xG created 1.51 xGA

  • W 1.18 created, 0.99 conceded against FC Alverca
  • W 1.51 created, 0.65 conceded against Santa Clara
  • W 1.49 created, 0.26 conceded against Vitória SC
  • L 0.93 created, 1.20 conceded against Gil Vicente
  • W 1.96 created, 1.33 conceded against Rio Ave
  • L 0.16 created, 4.65 conceded against Sporting
Casa Pia

0.90 xG created 1.80 xGA

  • L 0.52 created, 3.03 conceded against Sporting
  • W 1.40 created, 1.33 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
  • L 0.22 created, 2.63 conceded against FC Porto
  • L 0.66 created, 1.24 conceded against CD Nacional
  • W 1.49 created, 0.27 conceded against FC Arouca
  • D 1.10 created, 2.28 conceded against Famalicão

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.