Moreirense 1:0 Estoril Praia: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Monday, 20/04/2026 at 21:15

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Moreirense Home 0.86 xG

Estoril Praia Away 0.35 xG

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Moreirense Estoril Praia

Shots: 11; 4
On target: 4; 1
Inside the box: 7; 4
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Moreirense

0.68 xG created 1.59 xGA

D 1.51 created, 1.17 conceded against Casa Pia
D 0.94 created, 1.35 conceded against CD Nacional
L 0.14 created, 2.13 conceded against FC Porto
L 0.59 created, 1.69 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.38 created, 1.31 conceded against Sporting Braga
D 0.51 created, 1.91 conceded against Famalicão

Estoril Praia

0.84 xG created 1.81 xGA

L 0.62 created, 2.26 conceded against Sporting
D 0.65 created, 1.47 conceded against Casa Pia
W 1.12 created, 0.80 conceded against CD Nacional
L 1.15 created, 1.65 conceded against Rio Ave
L 1.12 created, 1.98 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.39 created, 2.69 conceded against FC Porto

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Moreirense: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Estoril Praia 3:3 Moreirense 07/12/2025 xG 1.88 – 2.41

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.