What Rio Ave have left to play in Liga Portugal 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
27 matches ahead in Liga Portugal
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 27 matches ahead of Rio Ave in Liga Portugal rates 3.8 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Difficult. 16 of them rate harder than balanced, and nothing in the run rates easier. The model expects 0.90 projected xG a match from them and 25.5 of the 81 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Benfica away, banded 5 of 5 — Very difficult, against an attack rated 87/99 and a defence rated 71/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
Moreirense home Sun 10/01 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 1.15 – 0.90 Rio Ave win 39%
Benfica away Sun 02/05 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 0.65 – 2.38 Rio Ave win 6%
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Open the match page for CD Nacional
Sun 11/10 Home CD Nacional Liga Portugal
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 45/99, defence 30/99Projected xG 1.18 – 1.23 Projected xPts 1.30- Rio Ave
- 32%
- Draw
- 32%
- CD Nacional
- 35%
-
Open the match page for Famalicão
Sun 25/10 Home Famalicão Liga Portugal
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 40/99, defence 63/99Projected xG 0.88 – 1.17 Projected xPts 1.09- Rio Ave
- 25%
- Draw
- 35%
- Famalicão
- 41%
-
Open the match page for Académico Viseu FC
Sun 01/11 Away Académico Viseu FC Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 57/99, defence 35/99Projected xG 0.91 – 1.73 Projected xPts 0.78- Académico Viseu FC
- 56%
- Draw
- 27%
- Rio Ave
- 17%
-
Open the match page for Sporting Braga
Sun 08/11 Home Sporting Braga Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 72/99Projected xG 0.80 – 1.21 Projected xPts 0.99- Rio Ave
- 21%
- Draw
- 34%
- Sporting Braga
- 44%
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Open the match page for FC Arouca
Sat 28/11 Away FC Arouca Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 53/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 0.88 – 1.65 Projected xPts 0.79- FC Arouca
- 55%
- Draw
- 28%
- Rio Ave
- 17%
-
Open the match page for Casa Pia
Sun 06/12 Home Casa Pia Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 34/99, defence 35/99Projected xG 1.13 – 1.08 Projected xPts 1.37- Rio Ave
- 34%
- Draw
- 34%
- Casa Pia
- 32%
-
Open the match page for Marítimo
Sun 13/12 Away Marítimo Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 0.85 – 1.38 Projected xPts 0.92- Marítimo
- 48%
- Draw
- 32%
- Rio Ave
- 20%
-
Open the match page for Benfica
Sun 20/12 Home Benfica Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 87/99, defence 71/99Projected xG 0.80 – 1.92 Projected xPts 0.61- Rio Ave
- 12%
- Draw
- 24%
- Benfica
- 63%
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Open the match page for Vitória SC
Sun 27/12 Away Vitória SC Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 69/99, defence 66/99Projected xG 0.69 – 1.93 Projected xPts 0.52- Vitória SC
- 67%
- Draw
- 23%
- Rio Ave
- 10%
-
Open the match page for Moreirense
Sun 10/01 Home Moreirense Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 23/99, defence 33/99Projected xG 1.15 – 0.90 Projected xPts 1.53- Rio Ave
- 39%
- Draw
- 35%
- Moreirense
- 26%
-
Open the match page for Gil Vicente
Sun 17/01 Home Gil Vicente Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 46/99, defence 61/99Projected xG 0.90 – 1.24 Projected xPts 1.06- Rio Ave
- 24%
- Draw
- 34%
- Gil Vicente
- 42%
-
Open the match page for FC Porto
Sun 24/01 Away FC Porto Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 72/99, defence 68/99Projected xG 0.68 – 1.99 Projected xPts 0.49- FC Porto
- 69%
- Draw
- 22%
- Rio Ave
- 9%
-
Open the match page for Estoril Praia
Sun 31/01 Home Estoril Praia Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 30/99Projected xG 1.18 – 1.12 Projected xPts 1.37- Rio Ave
- 35%
- Draw
- 33%
- Estoril Praia
- 32%
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Open the match page for Sporting
Sun 07/02 Away Sporting Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 73/99, defence 74/99Projected xG 0.63 – 2.01 Projected xPts 0.45- Sporting
- 70%
- Draw
- 22%
- Rio Ave
- 8%
-
Open the match page for Santa Clara
Sun 14/02 Home Santa Clara Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 45/99, defence 76/99Projected xG 0.75 – 1.23 Projected xPts 0.93- Rio Ave
- 20%
- Draw
- 34%
- Santa Clara
- 46%
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Open the match page for CF Estrela Amadora
Sun 21/02 Away CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 38/99Projected xG 0.89 – 1.59 Projected xPts 0.83- CF Estrela Amadora
- 53%
- Draw
- 29%
- Rio Ave
- 18%
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Open the match page for FC Alverca
Sun 28/02 Home FC Alverca Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 40/99Projected xG 1.08 – 1.29 Projected xPts 1.18- Rio Ave
- 28%
- Draw
- 32%
- FC Alverca
- 39%
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Open the match page for CD Nacional
Sun 07/03 Away CD Nacional Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 45/99, defence 30/99Projected xG 0.95 – 1.52 Projected xPts 0.92- CD Nacional
- 49%
- Draw
- 30%
- Rio Ave
- 20%
-
Open the match page for Famalicão
Sun 14/03 Away Famalicão Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 40/99, defence 63/99Projected xG 0.71 – 1.45 Projected xPts 0.77- Famalicão
- 54%
- Draw
- 31%
- Rio Ave
- 15%
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Open the match page for Académico Viseu FC
Sun 21/03 Home Académico Viseu FC Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 57/99, defence 35/99Projected xG 1.13 – 1.39 Projected xPts 1.15- Rio Ave
- 28%
- Draw
- 31%
- Académico Viseu FC
- 41%
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Open the match page for Sporting Braga
Sun 04/04 Away Sporting Braga Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 72/99Projected xG 0.64 – 1.51 Projected xPts 0.68- Sporting Braga
- 58%
- Draw
- 29%
- Rio Ave
- 13%
-
Open the match page for FC Arouca
Sun 11/04 Home FC Arouca Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 53/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 1.09 – 1.33 Projected xPts 1.16- Rio Ave
- 28%
- Draw
- 32%
- FC Arouca
- 40%
-
Open the match page for Casa Pia
Sun 18/04 Away Casa Pia Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 34/99, defence 35/99Projected xG 0.91 – 1.34 Projected xPts 1.00- Casa Pia
- 45%
- Draw
- 32%
- Rio Ave
- 22%
-
Open the match page for Marítimo
Sun 25/04 Home Marítimo Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 1.05 – 1.11 Projected xPts 1.28- Rio Ave
- 31%
- Draw
- 34%
- Marítimo
- 35%
-
Open the match page for Benfica
Sun 02/05 Away Benfica Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 87/99, defence 71/99Projected xG 0.65 – 2.38 Projected xPts 0.35- Benfica
- 77%
- Draw
- 17%
- Rio Ave
- 6%
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Open the match page for Vitória SC
Sun 09/05 Home Vitória SC Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 69/99, defence 66/99Projected xG 0.85 – 1.56 Projected xPts 0.82- Rio Ave
- 18%
- Draw
- 29%
- Vitória SC
- 53%
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Open the match page for Moreirense
Sun 16/05 Away Moreirense Liga Portugal Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 23/99, defence 33/99Projected xG 0.92 – 1.11 Projected xPts 1.17- Moreirense
- 38%
- Draw
- 35%
- Rio Ave
- 27%
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Liga Portugal.
Fixture difficulty in Liga Portugal
Reads each matchup for Rio Ave: the band is cut from the model's chances of Rio Ave winning and losing the match, so Rio Ave's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
tied number 11 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Liga Portugal's average club, with no venue and nothing of Rio Ave's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
−0.05 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · tied number 11 hardest of 18
- CD Nacional Home −0.27
- Famalicão Home +0.02
- Académico Viseu FC Away −0.07
- Sporting Braga Home +0.15
- FC Arouca Away −0.08
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Liga Portugal and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.