AS Monaco 1:0 Paris Saint-Germain: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

AS Monaco Home 0.52 xG · 10 shots

Paris Saint-Germain Away 1.33 xG · 17 shots

10 The result went against the chances

Goals

68' Takumi Minamino AS Monaco · 0.09 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

AS Monaco Paris Saint-Germain

Shots: 10; 17
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 6; 14
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.30; 0.99
Set-piece xG: 0.34; 0.38
Penalties: —; —

AS Monaco's shots add up to 0.64 xG and Paris Saint-Germain's to 1.37; the published figures are 0.52 and 1.33.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.01 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

AS Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AS Monaco

2.34 xG created 1.96 xGA

D 1.88 created, 1.77 conceded against Angers
W 3.08 created, 0.68 conceded against Toulouse
W 4.31 created, 1.62 conceded against Nantes
L 0.61 created, 0.85 conceded against Paris FC
L 2.83 created, 3.16 conceded against RC Lens
L 1.33 created, 3.69 conceded against Stade Rennais

Paris Saint-Germain

2.16 xG created 1.06 xGA

D 2.67 created, 2.15 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 2.07 created, 1.62 conceded against Stade Brestois
D 1.49 created, 0.23 conceded against Lorient
W 1.84 created, 0.48 conceded against Nice
W 1.42 created, 0.69 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 3.46 created, 1.19 conceded against Le Havre

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.