AS Monaco 1:0 Toulouse: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 19:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

AS Monaco Home 3.08 xG · 14 shots

Toulouse Away 0.68 xG · 10 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

3' Mohammed Salisu AS Monaco · 0.34 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

AS Monaco Toulouse

Shots: 14; 10
On target: 5; 2
Inside the box: 13; 7
xG per shot: 0.23; 0.07
Open play xG: 2.69; 0.46
Set-piece xG: 0.57; 0.24
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.26 for AS Monaco and 0.68 for Toulouse.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 3.96 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

AS Monaco
Toulouse
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AS Monaco

2.11 xG created 1.56 xGA

W 1.94 created, 1.62 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 1.42 created, 0.67 conceded against Auxerre
W 3.50 created, 2.16 conceded against Metz
L 0.92 created, 1.98 conceded against Lorient
D 2.98 created, 1.15 conceded against Nice
D 1.88 created, 1.77 conceded against Angers

Toulouse

1.87 xG created 1.36 xGA

L 2.22 created, 2.62 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 0.81 created, 2.21 conceded against Lille
L 2.33 created, 0.75 conceded against Auxerre
D 2.15 created, 1.46 conceded against Nantes
W 1.16 created, 1.02 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 2.54 created, 0.08 conceded against Metz

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.