Toulouse 4:0 Metz: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 19/10/2025 at 17:15

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Toulouse Home 2.54 xG · 16 shots

Metz Away 0.08 xG · 2 shots

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

2' Frank Magri Toulouse · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
8' Aron Dønnum (pen.) Toulouse · 0.82 xG chance 2–0
79' Yann Gboho Toulouse · 0.14 xG chance 3–0
84' Charlie Cresswell Toulouse · 0.11 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

Toulouse Metz

Shots: 16; 2
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 13; 1
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.05
Open play xG: 1.39; 0.10
Set-piece xG: 0.39; 0.00
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.76 for Toulouse and 0.10 for Metz.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 2.70 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Toulouse
Metz
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Toulouse

1.66 xG created 1.51 xGA

W 1.28 created, 0.97 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 2.22 created, 2.62 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 0.81 created, 2.21 conceded against Lille
L 2.33 created, 0.75 conceded against Auxerre
D 2.15 created, 1.46 conceded against Nantes
W 1.16 created, 1.02 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais

Metz

1.15 xG created 2.46 xGA

L 0.56 created, 2.77 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
L 1.84 created, 3.21 conceded against Paris FC
D 1.71 created, 2.27 conceded against Angers
L 2.16 created, 3.50 conceded against AS Monaco
D 0.47 created, 0.27 conceded against Le Havre
L 0.16 created, 2.71 conceded against Olympique de Marseille

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.