Toulouse 3:6 Paris Saint-Germain: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 30/08/2025 at 21:05

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Toulouse Home 2.22 xG · 14 shots

Paris Saint-Germain Away 2.62 xG · 13 shots

36 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

7' João Neves Paris Saint-Germain · 0.29 xG chance 0–1
9' Bradley Barcola Paris Saint-Germain · 0.21 xG chance 0–2
14' João Neves Paris Saint-Germain · 0.08 xG chance 0–3
31' Ousmane Dembélé (pen.) Paris Saint-Germain · 0.82 xG chance 0–4
37' Charlie Cresswell Toulouse · 0.24 xG chance 1–4
51' Ousmane Dembélé (pen.) Paris Saint-Germain · 0.82 xG chance 1–5
78' João Neves Paris Saint-Germain · 0.07 xG chance 1–6
89' Yann Gboho Toulouse · 0.60 xG chance 2–6
90' Alexis Vossah Toulouse · 0.06 xG chance 3–6

The shots behind it

Toulouse Paris Saint-Germain

Shots: 14; 13
On target: 6; 8
Inside the box: 8; 9
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.20
Open play xG: 0.96; 0.49
Set-piece xG: 0.48; 0.51
Penalties: 1; 2

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.44 for Toulouse and 1.04 for Paris Saint-Germain.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 4.90 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Toulouse
Paris Saint-Germain
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Toulouse

0.95 xG created 0.88 xGA

W 0.61 created, 0.79 conceded against Nice
W 1.28 created, 0.97 conceded against Stade Brestois

Paris Saint-Germain

1.64 xG created 0.19 xGA

W 1.43 created, 0.14 conceded against Nantes
W 1.85 created, 0.24 conceded against Angers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.