Lille 2:1 Toulouse: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 14/09/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

Lille Home 2.21 xG · 20 shots

Toulouse Away 0.81 xG · 9 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

50' Frank Magri Toulouse · 0.40 xG chance 0–1
90' Ethan Mbappé Lille · 0.15 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Nabil Bentaleb (pen.) Lille · 0.82 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Lille Toulouse

Shots: 20; 9
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 14; 5
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.36; 0.86
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 0.04
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.43 for Lille and 0.89 for Toulouse.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 3.19 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lille
Toulouse
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lille

2.68 xG created 1.59 xGA

D 1.62 created, 2.01 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 2.92 created, 1.25 conceded against AS Monaco
W 3.49 created, 1.50 conceded against Lorient

Toulouse

1.37 xG created 1.46 xGA

W 0.61 created, 0.79 conceded against Nice
W 1.28 created, 0.97 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 2.22 created, 2.62 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.