AS Monaco 2:2 Nice: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 05/10/2025 at 17:15

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

AS Monaco Home 2.98 xG · 20 shots

Nice Away 1.15 xG · 9 shots

22 AS Monaco had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

29' Sofiane Diop Nice · 0.02 xG chance 0–1
42' Sofiane Diop (pen.) Nice · 0.82 xG chance 0–2
45' Ansu Fati (pen.) AS Monaco · 0.82 xG chance 1–2
56' Ansu Fati (pen.) AS Monaco · 0.82 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

AS Monaco Nice

Shots: 20; 9
On target: 6; 2
Inside the box: 12; 5
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.05; 0.26
Set-piece xG: 0.37; 0.10
Penalties: 2; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.40 for AS Monaco and 0.36 for Nice.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 4.24 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

AS Monaco
Nice
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AS Monaco

1.80 xG created 1.66 xGA

W 1.76 created, 0.60 conceded against Le Havre
L 1.25 created, 2.92 conceded against Lille
W 1.94 created, 1.62 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 1.42 created, 0.67 conceded against Auxerre
W 3.50 created, 2.16 conceded against Metz
L 0.92 created, 1.98 conceded against Lorient

Nice

1.40 xG created 1.55 xGA

L 0.79 created, 0.61 conceded against Toulouse
W 1.94 created, 1.51 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.63 created, 2.56 conceded against Le Havre
W 1.75 created, 0.75 conceded against Nantes
L 2.33 created, 2.03 conceded against Stade Brestois
D 0.96 created, 1.84 conceded against Paris FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.