Stade Brestois 4:1 Nice: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 19:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

Stade Brestois Home 2.03 xG · 11 shots

Nice Away 2.33 xG · 21 shots

41 The result went against the chances

Goals

6' Ludovic Ajorque Stade Brestois · 0.98 xG chance 1–0
9' Romain Del Castillo Stade Brestois · 0.03 xG chance 2–0
30' Terem Moffi Nice · 0.77 xG chance 2–1
70' Joris Chotard Stade Brestois · 0.03 xG chance 3–1
76' Remy Labeau Lascary Stade Brestois · 0.50 xG chance 4–1

The shots behind it

Stade Brestois Nice

Shots: 11; 21
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 6; 16
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.97; 1.75
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 0.54
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.03 for Stade Brestois and 2.33 for Nice.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 4.37 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Stade Brestois
Nice
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stade Brestois

1.66 xG created 2.11 xGA

D 2.01 created, 1.62 conceded against Lille
L 0.97 created, 1.28 conceded against Toulouse
L 1.08 created, 3.99 conceded against RC Lens
L 2.57 created, 1.55 conceded against Paris FC

Nice

1.28 xG created 1.36 xGA

L 0.79 created, 0.61 conceded against Toulouse
W 1.94 created, 1.51 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.63 created, 2.56 conceded against Le Havre
W 1.75 created, 0.75 conceded against Nantes

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.