Auxerre 2:1 Nice: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 10/05/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Auxerre Home 0.84 xG · 12 shots

Nice Away 1.33 xG · 10 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

9' Sofiane Diop Nice · 0.30 xG chance 0–1
27' Sékou Mara Auxerre · 0.16 xG chance 1–1
70' Lassine Sinayoko Auxerre · 0.07 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Auxerre Nice

Shots: 12; 10
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 8; 8
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.67; 1.08
Set-piece xG: 0.04; 0.14
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.72 for Auxerre and 1.26 for Nice.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 1.93 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Auxerre
Nice
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Auxerre

1.13 xG created 1.62 xGA

W 1.22 created, 0.91 conceded against Stade Brestois
D 1.70 created, 0.50 conceded against Le Havre
D 0.66 created, 1.73 conceded against Nantes
D 0.65 created, 2.24 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.52 created, 2.12 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 2.03 created, 2.20 conceded against Angers

Nice

0.90 xG created 2.02 xGA

L 0.24 created, 3.71 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 0.32 created, 2.26 conceded against RC Strasbourg
D 2.11 created, 1.76 conceded against Le Havre
D 0.19 created, 0.54 conceded against Lille
D 1.46 created, 2.32 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
D 1.07 created, 1.53 conceded against RC Lens

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Auxerre: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Nice 3:1 Auxerre 23/08/2025 xG 1.94 – 1.51

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.