Nice 0:4 Paris Saint-Germain: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 21/03/2026 at 21:05

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Nice Home 0.24 xG · 6 shots

Paris Saint-Germain Away 3.71 xG · 17 shots

04 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

42' Nuno Mendes (pen.) Paris Saint-Germain · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
49' Désiré Doué Paris Saint-Germain · 0.27 xG chance 0–2
81' Dro Fernández Paris Saint-Germain · 0.44 xG chance 0–3
85' Warren Zaïre-Emery Paris Saint-Germain · 0.12 xG chance 0–4

The shots behind it

Nice Paris Saint-Germain

Shots: 6; 17
On target: 1; 10
Inside the box: 4; 13
xG per shot: 0.04; 0.22
Open play xG: 0.20; 2.70
Set-piece xG: 0.03; 0.20
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.24 for Nice and 2.92 for Paris Saint-Germain.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 3.95 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nice
Paris Saint-Germain
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nice

1.65 xG created 1.38 xGA

D 0.50 created, 0.61 conceded against AS Monaco
L 1.26 created, 1.52 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
D 3.24 created, 2.24 conceded against Lorient
L 1.18 created, 1.20 conceded against Paris FC
L 2.15 created, 1.66 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 1.58 created, 1.02 conceded against Angers

Paris Saint-Germain

2.67 xG created 1.06 xGA

W 1.13 created, 2.27 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 4.14 created, 0.66 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
L 3.62 created, 1.36 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 2.13 created, 0.08 conceded against Metz
W 3.88 created, 0.67 conceded against Le Havre
L 1.09 created, 1.34 conceded against AS Monaco

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Nice: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Paris Saint-Germain 1:0 Nice 01/11/2025 xG 1.84 – 0.48

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.