Le Havre 0:1 Paris Saint-Germain: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 21:05

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Le Havre Home 0.67 xG · 10 shots

Paris Saint-Germain Away 3.88 xG · 22 shots

01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

37' Bradley Barcola Paris Saint-Germain · 0.24 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Le Havre Paris Saint-Germain

Shots: 10; 22
On target: 2; 9
Inside the box: 4; 15
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.18
Open play xG: 0.48; 2.86
Set-piece xG: 0.20; 0.25
Penalties: 0; 1

Le Havre's shots add up to 0.68 xG and Paris Saint-Germain's to 3.93; the published figures are 0.67 and 3.88.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 4.61 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Le Havre
Paris Saint-Germain
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Le Havre

0.67 xG created 1.59 xGA

D 0.75 created, 2.61 conceded against Stade Rennais
D 0.21 created, 0.43 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.47 created, 2.14 conceded against RC Lens
W 0.85 created, 0.44 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 1.16 created, 2.57 conceded against Toulouse
L 0.58 created, 1.32 conceded against Nantes

Paris Saint-Germain

2.41 xG created 0.97 xGA

W 1.40 created, 1.14 conceded against Lille
W 2.07 created, 0.30 conceded against Auxerre
W 1.13 created, 2.27 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 4.14 created, 0.66 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
L 3.62 created, 1.36 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 2.13 created, 0.08 conceded against Metz

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Le Havre: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Paris Saint-Germain 3:0 Le Havre 22/11/2025 xG 3.46 – 1.19

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.