Paris Saint-Germain 3:0 Lille: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Friday, 16/01/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain Home 1.40 xG · 13 shots

Lille Away 1.14 xG · 7 shots

30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

13' Ousmane Dembélé Paris Saint-Germain · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
64' Ousmane Dembélé Paris Saint-Germain · 0.15 xG chance 2–0
90' Bradley Barcola Paris Saint-Germain · 0.67 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Paris Saint-Germain Lille

Shots: 13; 7
On target: 7; 4
Inside the box: 6; 5
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.17
Open play xG: 1.45; 1.20
Set-piece xG: 0.01; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Paris Saint-Germain's shots add up to 1.46 xG and Lille's to 1.20; the published figures are 1.40 and 1.14.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 2.66 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Paris Saint-Germain
Lille
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Paris Saint-Germain

2.00 xG created 0.71 xGA

W 1.42 created, 0.69 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 3.46 created, 1.19 conceded against Le Havre
L 1.33 created, 0.52 conceded against AS Monaco
W 2.23 created, 0.24 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 1.85 created, 0.62 conceded against Metz
W 1.71 created, 1.01 conceded against Paris FC

Lille

1.28 xG created 1.47 xGA

L 0.28 created, 1.07 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 4.03 created, 1.52 conceded against Paris FC
W 1.62 created, 1.18 conceded against Le Havre
W 0.35 created, 0.53 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
W 0.52 created, 2.97 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.85 created, 1.57 conceded against Stade Rennais

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Paris Saint-Germain: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Lille 1:1 Paris Saint-Germain 05/10/2025 xG 0.65 – 1.50

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.