Lille 1:1 Paris Saint-Germain: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 05/10/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Lille Home 0.65 xG · 9 shots

Paris Saint-Germain Away 1.50 xG · 17 shots

11 Paris Saint-Germain had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

66' Nuno Mendes Paris Saint-Germain · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
85' Ethan Mbappé Lille · 0.04 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Lille Paris Saint-Germain

Shots: 9; 17
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 8; 9
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.38; 1.17
Set-piece xG: 0.09; 0.39
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.46 for Lille and 1.50 for Paris Saint-Germain.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.03 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lille
Paris Saint-Germain
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lille

2.27 xG created 1.60 xGA

D 1.62 created, 2.01 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 2.92 created, 1.25 conceded against AS Monaco
W 3.49 created, 1.50 conceded against Lorient
W 2.21 created, 0.81 conceded against Toulouse
L 1.90 created, 3.54 conceded against RC Lens
L 1.47 created, 0.52 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais

Paris Saint-Germain

1.57 xG created 0.93 xGA

W 1.43 created, 0.14 conceded against Nantes
W 1.85 created, 0.24 conceded against Angers
W 2.62 created, 2.22 conceded against Toulouse
W 1.07 created, 1.16 conceded against RC Lens
L 0.67 created, 1.09 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
W 1.77 created, 0.71 conceded against Auxerre

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.