xgEdge

Sunday, 08/03/2026 at 17:15

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Match report · Ligue 1

Nice 0:4 Stade Rennais

Nice Home 2.15 xG · 14 shots
Stade Rennais Away 1.66 xG · 12 shots
04 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 13' Esteban Lepaul Stade Rennais · 0.08 xG chance 0–1
  2. 20' Sebastian Szymański Stade Rennais · 0.22 xG chance 0–2
  3. 74' Ludovic Blas Stade Rennais · 0.12 xG chance 0–3
  4. 90' Nordan Mukiele Stade Rennais · 0.02 xG chance 0–4

The shots behind it

Nice Stade Rennais
Shots
14
12
On target
2
6
Inside the box
12
9
xG per shot
0.16
0.14
Open play xG
0.62
0.83
Set-piece xG
1.66
0.04
Penalties
0
1

Nice's shots add up to 2.28 xG and Stade Rennais's to 1.69; the published figures are 2.15 and 1.66.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Stade Rennais · Esteban Lepaul · 36' · No goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Nice · Antoine Mendy · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.56 xG Nice · Kaïl Boudache · 69' · No goal · 8 m · 0.33 xG Stade Rennais · Sebastian Szymański · 20' · Goal · 16 m · 0.22 xG Nice · Morgan Sanson · 90' · No goal · 5 m · 0.22 xG Stade Rennais · Arnaud Nordin · 31' · No goal · 11 m · 0.18 xG Nice · Mohamed Ali Cho · 44' · No goal · 11 m · 0.17 xG Nice · Tiago Gouveia · 90' · No goal · 4 m · 0.16 xG Nice · Kevin Carlos Omoruyi · 65' · No goal · 4 m · 0.15 xG Nice · Kevin Carlos Omoruyi · 53' · No goal · 15 m · 0.14 xG Nice · Kevin Carlos Omoruyi · 90' · No goal · 5 m · 0.13 xG Nice · Morgan Sanson · 69' · No goal · 15 m · 0.12 xG Nice · Abdulay Juma Bah · 69' · No goal · 11 m · 0.12 xG Stade Rennais · Ludovic Blas · 74' · Goal · 14 m · 0.12 xG Nice · Kevin Carlos Omoruyi · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG Stade Rennais · Esteban Lepaul · 13' · Goal · 4 m · 0.08 xG Stade Rennais · Mousa Tamari · 54' · No goal · 16 m · 0.06 xG Stade Rennais · Arnaud Nordin · 22' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Stade Rennais · Mousa Tamari · 16' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Stade Rennais · Valentin Rongier · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Nice · Jonathan Clauss · 45' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Stade Rennais · Mousa Tamari · 54' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Stade Rennais · Mousa Tamari · 12' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Nice · Tom Louchet · 69' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Nice · Melvin Bard · 90' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Stade Rennais · Nordan Mukiele · 90' · Goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

26 shots · 3.97 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Nice
  • Stade Rennais
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Nice

1.40 xG created 1.47 xGA

  • W 0.87 created, 1.59 conceded against Nantes
  • D 1.35 created, 1.69 conceded against Stade Brestois
  • D 0.50 created, 0.61 conceded against AS Monaco
  • L 1.26 created, 1.52 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
  • D 3.24 created, 2.24 conceded against Lorient
  • L 1.18 created, 1.20 conceded against Paris FC
Stade Rennais

1.14 xG created 1.56 xGA

  • L 1.83 created, 1.30 conceded against Lorient
  • L 0.38 created, 2.12 conceded against AS Monaco
  • L 1.38 created, 1.18 conceded against RC Lens
  • W 1.36 created, 3.62 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
  • W 0.98 created, 0.65 conceded against Auxerre
  • W 0.92 created, 0.49 conceded against Toulouse

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Nice: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.