Stade Rennais 0:2 Lorient: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Stade Rennais Home 1.83 xG · 22 shots

Lorient Away 1.30 xG · 6 shots

02 The result went against the chances

Goals

3' Jean Victor Makengo Lorient · 0.04 xG chance 0–1
77' Pablo Pagis Lorient · 0.75 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Stade Rennais Lorient

Shots: 22; 6
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 13; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.21
Open play xG: 1.13; 1.14
Set-piece xG: 0.69; 0.11
Penalties: —; —

Stade Rennais's shots add up to 1.82 xG and Lorient's to 1.25; the published figures are 1.83 and 1.30.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.07 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Stade Rennais
Lorient
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stade Rennais

1.85 xG created 1.17 xGA

W 3.69 created, 1.33 conceded against AS Monaco
W 0.78 created, 1.02 conceded against Metz
L 0.24 created, 2.23 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
W 2.23 created, 0.82 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 1.57 created, 0.85 conceded against Lille
D 2.61 created, 0.75 conceded against Le Havre

Lorient

1.44 xG created 0.74 xGA

D 0.32 created, 0.84 conceded against Nantes
W 2.38 created, 0.82 conceded against Nice
W 2.57 created, 0.43 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
D 0.53 created, 0.69 conceded against RC Strasbourg
D 1.44 created, 0.41 conceded against Metz
W 1.38 created, 1.25 conceded against AS Monaco

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stade Rennais: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Lorient 4:0 Stade Rennais 24/08/2025 xG 3.04 – 0.08

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.