Nice 2:2 Stade Brestois: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 17:15

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Nice Home 1.35 xG · 15 shots

Stade Brestois Away 1.69 xG · 12 shots

22 Stade Brestois had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

15' Romain Del Castillo (pen.) Stade Brestois · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
23' Kamory Doumbia Stade Brestois · 0.42 xG chance 0–2
63' Ali Abdi Nice · 0.06 xG chance 1–2
71' Elye Wahi Nice · 0.45 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Nice Stade Brestois

Shots: 15; 12
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 10; 6
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.14
Open play xG: 1.11; 0.71
Set-piece xG: 0.28; 0.17
Penalties: 0; 1

Nice's shots add up to 1.39 xG and Stade Brestois's to 1.70; the published figures are 1.35 and 1.69.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 3.09 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nice
Stade Brestois
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nice

1.42 xG created 1.61 xGA

L 0.82 created, 2.38 conceded against Lorient
L 1.31 created, 0.83 conceded against Angers
L 0.76 created, 1.65 conceded against RC Lens
D 2.75 created, 1.35 conceded against RC Strasbourg
L 1.99 created, 1.84 conceded against Toulouse
W 0.87 created, 1.59 conceded against Nantes

Stade Brestois

1.16 xG created 1.05 xGA

W 1.05 created, 0.80 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 1.53 created, 0.60 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.82 created, 2.23 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 1.88 created, 0.74 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.69 created, 1.53 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
L 0.99 created, 0.37 conceded against Toulouse

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Nice: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Stade Brestois 4:1 Nice 20/09/2025 xG 2.03 – 2.33

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.