Stade Brestois 0:2 Toulouse: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 25/01/2026 at 17:15

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Stade Brestois Home 0.99 xG · 13 shots

Toulouse Away 0.37 xG · 8 shots

02 The result went against the chances

Goals

27' Pape Diop Toulouse · 0.02 xG chance 0–1
43' Yann Gboho Toulouse · 0.05 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Stade Brestois Toulouse

Shots: 13; 8
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 6; 4
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.96; 0.20
Set-piece xG: 0.09; 0.16
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.04 for Stade Brestois and 0.37 for Toulouse.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 1.41 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Stade Brestois
Toulouse
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stade Brestois

1.51 xG created 1.16 xGA

W 3.11 created, 1.05 conceded against Metz
W 1.05 created, 0.80 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 1.53 created, 0.60 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.82 created, 2.23 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 1.88 created, 0.74 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.69 created, 1.53 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais

Toulouse

1.37 xG created 1.06 xGA

L 1.98 created, 0.43 conceded against Angers
D 0.70 created, 1.80 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
W 0.50 created, 0.05 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 2.54 created, 0.46 conceded against Paris FC
L 0.66 created, 1.62 conceded against RC Lens
W 1.84 created, 1.99 conceded against Nice

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stade Brestois: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Toulouse 2:0 Stade Brestois 24/08/2025 xG 1.28 – 0.97

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.