Paris FC 0:3 Toulouse: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 21:05

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Paris FC Home 0.46 xG · 9 shots

Toulouse Away 2.54 xG · 7 shots

03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

29' Santiago Hidalgo Toulouse · 0.72 xG chance 0–1
37' Yann Gboho Toulouse · 0.18 xG chance 0–2
69' Yann Gboho Toulouse · 0.59 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Paris FC Toulouse

Shots: 9; 7
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 3; 7
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.37
Open play xG: 0.45; 1.75
Set-piece xG: 0.02; 0.00
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.46 for Paris FC and 1.72 for Toulouse.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

16 shots · 3.04 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Paris FC
Toulouse
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Paris FC

1.33 xG created 1.58 xGA

D 0.62 created, 1.25 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 0.85 created, 0.61 conceded against AS Monaco
L 1.98 created, 0.75 conceded against Stade Rennais
L 1.52 created, 4.03 conceded against Lille
D 1.80 created, 1.11 conceded against Auxerre
D 1.23 created, 1.71 conceded against Le Havre

Toulouse

1.20 xG created 1.09 xGA

D 1.55 created, 1.58 conceded against Stade Rennais
D 1.12 created, 1.30 conceded against Le Havre
D 1.32 created, 1.36 conceded against Lorient
L 1.98 created, 0.43 conceded against Angers
D 0.70 created, 1.80 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
W 0.50 created, 0.05 conceded against RC Strasbourg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.