Lorient 1:1 Toulouse: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 09/11/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

Lorient Home 1.36 xG · 10 shots

Toulouse Away 1.32 xG · 6 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

44' Pablo Pagis (pen.) Lorient · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
65' Djibril Sidibé (pen.) Toulouse · 0.82 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Lorient Toulouse

Shots: 10; 6
On target: 2; 2
Inside the box: 5; 5
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.23
Open play xG: 0.30; 0.46
Set-piece xG: 0.26; 0.08
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.57 for Lorient and 0.53 for Toulouse.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

16 shots · 2.74 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lorient
Toulouse
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lorient

1.37 xG created 1.34 xGA

W 1.98 created, 0.92 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.97 created, 1.02 conceded against Paris FC
D 1.20 created, 1.59 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 1.99 created, 0.93 conceded against Angers
D 0.23 created, 1.49 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 1.82 created, 2.09 conceded against RC Lens

Toulouse

1.53 xG created 1.42 xGA

D 2.15 created, 1.46 conceded against Nantes
W 1.16 created, 1.02 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 2.54 created, 0.08 conceded against Metz
L 0.68 created, 3.08 conceded against AS Monaco
D 1.55 created, 1.58 conceded against Stade Rennais
D 1.12 created, 1.30 conceded against Le Havre

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.