RC Lens 2:0 Nice: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 14/12/2025 at 17:15

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

RC Lens Home 1.65 xG · 15 shots

Nice Away 0.76 xG · 8 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

15' Odsonne Édouard RC Lens · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
57' Odsonne Édouard RC Lens · 0.31 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

RC Lens Nice

Shots: 15; 8
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 8; 4
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.53; 0.69
Set-piece xG: 0.16; 0.06
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.65 for RC Lens and 0.76 for Nice.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.44 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

RC Lens
Nice
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

RC Lens

2.14 xG created 1.81 xGA

L 1.32 created, 3.42 conceded against Metz
W 2.09 created, 1.82 conceded against Lorient
W 3.16 created, 2.83 conceded against AS Monaco
W 1.92 created, 0.46 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 2.05 created, 1.16 conceded against Angers
W 2.30 created, 1.19 conceded against Nantes

Nice

1.09 xG created 1.75 xGA

W 1.77 created, 0.99 conceded against Lille
L 0.48 created, 1.84 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 0.95 created, 1.58 conceded against Metz
L 1.19 created, 2.86 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
L 0.82 created, 2.38 conceded against Lorient
L 1.31 created, 0.83 conceded against Angers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.