Nice 2:0 Lille: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Wednesday, 29/10/2025 at 19:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

Nice Home 1.77 xG · 8 shots

Lille Away 0.99 xG · 21 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

29' Sofiane Diop (pen.) Nice · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
87' Isak Jansson Nice · 0.57 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Nice Lille

Shots: 8; 21
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 4; 9
xG per shot: 0.22; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.81; 0.73
Set-piece xG: 0.12; 0.28
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.91 for Nice and 0.99 for Lille.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 2.76 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nice
Lille
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nice

1.25 xG created 2.12 xGA

W 1.75 created, 0.75 conceded against Nantes
L 2.33 created, 2.03 conceded against Stade Brestois
D 0.96 created, 1.84 conceded against Paris FC
D 1.15 created, 2.98 conceded against AS Monaco
W 0.60 created, 3.39 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 0.73 created, 1.74 conceded against Stade Rennais

Lille

1.96 xG created 1.35 xGA

W 2.21 created, 0.81 conceded against Toulouse
L 1.90 created, 3.54 conceded against RC Lens
L 1.47 created, 0.52 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
D 0.65 created, 1.50 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
W 2.60 created, 0.45 conceded against Nantes
W 2.92 created, 1.29 conceded against Metz

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.