Nantes 0:2 Lille: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 19/10/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Nantes Home 0.45 xG · 8 shots

Lille Away 2.60 xG · 23 shots

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

8' Hakon Arnar Haraldsson Lille · 0.18 xG chance 0–1
89' Hamza Igamane Lille · 0.10 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Nantes Lille

Shots: 8; 23
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 4; 19
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.36; 1.74
Set-piece xG: 0.24; 0.84
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.59 for Nantes and 2.60 for Lille.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 3.18 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nantes
Lille
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nantes

0.90 xG created 1.54 xGA

L 0.44 created, 1.78 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 0.48 created, 0.68 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.75 created, 1.75 conceded against Nice
D 2.11 created, 1.37 conceded against Stade Rennais
D 1.46 created, 2.15 conceded against Toulouse
D 0.15 created, 1.51 conceded against Stade Brestois

Lille

2.11 xG created 1.52 xGA

W 2.92 created, 1.25 conceded against AS Monaco
W 3.49 created, 1.50 conceded against Lorient
W 2.21 created, 0.81 conceded against Toulouse
L 1.90 created, 3.54 conceded against RC Lens
L 1.47 created, 0.52 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
D 0.65 created, 1.50 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.