xgEdge

Sunday, 09/11/2025 at 17:15

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Match report · Ligue 1

Metz 2:1 Nice

Metz Home 1.58 xG · 9 shots
Nice Away 0.95 xG · 11 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 35' Mohamed Ali Cho Nice · 0.16 xG chance 0–1
  2. 53' Gauthier Hein (pen.) Metz · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
  3. 84' Habibou Diallo Metz · 0.53 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Metz Nice
Shots
9
11
On target
2
4
Inside the box
3
8
xG per shot
0.18
0.09
Open play xG
0.73
0.77
Set-piece xG
0.09
0.20
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.80 for Metz and 0.95 for Nice.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Metz · Gauthier Hein · 53' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Metz · Habibou Diallo · 84' · Goal · 13 m · 0.53 xG Nice · Mohamed Ali Cho · 35' · Goal · 15 m · 0.16 xG Nice · Mohamed Ali Cho · 74' · No goal · 7 m · 0.14 xG Nice · Kevin Carlos Omoruyi · 24' · No goal · 5 m · 0.13 xG Nice · Kevin Carlos Omoruyi · 39' · No goal · 17 m · 0.10 xG Nice · Sofiane Diop · 61' · No goal · 3 m · 0.10 xG Nice · Abdulay Juma Bah · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Metz · Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · 9' · No goal · 8 m · 0.09 xG Nice · Sofiane Diop · 42' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Nice · Kojo Peprah Oppong · 65' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Metz · Giorgi Tsitaishvili · 57' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Metz · Jessy Deminguet · 16' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Metz · Giorgi Tsitaishvili · 48' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG Nice · Mohamed Ali Cho · 11' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Nice · Sofiane Diop · 39' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Metz · Habibou Diallo · 69' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Nice · Terem Moffi · 88' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Metz · Koffi Kouao · 3' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Metz · Alpha Touré · 57' · No goal · 22 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

20 shots · 2.61 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Metz
  • Nice
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Metz

1.13 xG created 1.76 xGA

  • D 0.47 created, 0.27 conceded against Le Havre
  • L 0.16 created, 2.71 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
  • L 0.08 created, 2.54 conceded against Toulouse
  • L 1.29 created, 2.92 conceded against Lille
  • W 3.42 created, 1.32 conceded against RC Lens
  • W 1.34 created, 0.81 conceded against Nantes
Nice

0.95 xG created 2.13 xGA

  • D 0.96 created, 1.84 conceded against Paris FC
  • D 1.15 created, 2.98 conceded against AS Monaco
  • W 0.60 created, 3.39 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
  • W 0.73 created, 1.74 conceded against Stade Rennais
  • W 1.77 created, 0.99 conceded against Lille
  • L 0.48 created, 1.84 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.