Nice 1:5 Olympique de Marseille: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Friday, 21/11/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Nice Home 1.19 xG · 15 shots

Olympique de Marseille Away 2.86 xG · 13 shots

15 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

11' Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Olympique de Marseille · 0.66 xG chance 0–1
33' Mason Greenwood Olympique de Marseille · 0.08 xG chance 0–2
53' Mason Greenwood Olympique de Marseille · 0.07 xG chance 0–3
58' Timothy Weah Olympique de Marseille · 0.10 xG chance 0–4
63' Mohamed Ali Cho Nice · 0.14 xG chance 1–4
74' Igor Paixão Olympique de Marseille · 0.42 xG chance 1–5

The shots behind it

Nice Olympique de Marseille

Shots: 15; 13
On target: 7; 11
Inside the box: 8; 11
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.22
Open play xG: 1.10; 2.16
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.71
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.19 for Nice and 2.86 for Olympique de Marseille.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 4.05 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nice
Olympique de Marseille
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nice

0.95 xG created 2.09 xGA

D 1.15 created, 2.98 conceded against AS Monaco
W 0.60 created, 3.39 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 0.73 created, 1.74 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 1.77 created, 0.99 conceded against Lille
L 0.48 created, 1.84 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 0.95 created, 1.58 conceded against Metz

Olympique de Marseille

2.11 xG created 0.90 xGA

W 2.71 created, 0.16 conceded against Metz
W 4.01 created, 0.49 conceded against Le Havre
L 0.66 created, 1.80 conceded against RC Lens
D 1.33 created, 1.04 conceded against Angers
W 0.52 created, 1.17 conceded against Auxerre
W 3.46 created, 0.74 conceded against Stade Brestois

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.