Nice 1:1 RC Strasbourg: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 03/01/2026 at 19:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

Nice Home 2.75 xG · 19 shots

RC Strasbourg Away 1.35 xG · 8 shots

11 Nice had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

13' Joaquin Panichelli (pen.) RC Strasbourg · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
54' Elye Wahi Nice · 0.07 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Nice RC Strasbourg

Shots: 19; 8
On target: 6; 5
Inside the box: 13; 6
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.17
Open play xG: 1.81; 0.52
Set-piece xG: 1.07; 0.05
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.86 for Nice and 0.56 for RC Strasbourg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 4.27 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nice
RC Strasbourg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nice

0.92 xG created 1.86 xGA

L 0.48 created, 1.84 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 0.95 created, 1.58 conceded against Metz
L 1.19 created, 2.86 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
L 0.82 created, 2.38 conceded against Lorient
L 1.31 created, 0.83 conceded against Angers
L 0.76 created, 1.65 conceded against RC Lens

RC Strasbourg

0.78 xG created 1.11 xGA

L 1.60 created, 2.35 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 1.07 created, 0.28 conceded against Lille
L 0.46 created, 1.92 conceded against RC Lens
L 0.80 created, 1.05 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 0.05 created, 0.50 conceded against Toulouse
D 0.69 created, 0.53 conceded against Lorient

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.