Paris Saint-Germain 1:3 AS Monaco: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Friday, 06/03/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain Home 1.09 xG · 19 shots

AS Monaco Away 1.34 xG · 11 shots

13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

27' Maghnes Akliouche AS Monaco · 0.28 xG chance 0–1
55' Aleksandr Golovin AS Monaco · 0.16 xG chance 0–2
71' Bradley Barcola Paris Saint-Germain · 0.05 xG chance 1–2
73' Folarin Balogun AS Monaco · 0.02 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Paris Saint-Germain AS Monaco

Shots: 19; 11
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 14; 6
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.12
Open play xG: 1.01; 0.87
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.46
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.34 for AS Monaco.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 2.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Paris Saint-Germain
AS Monaco
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Paris Saint-Germain

2.83 xG created 0.89 xGA

W 2.07 created, 0.30 conceded against Auxerre
W 1.13 created, 2.27 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 4.14 created, 0.66 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
L 3.62 created, 1.36 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 2.13 created, 0.08 conceded against Metz
W 3.88 created, 0.67 conceded against Le Havre

AS Monaco

1.36 xG created 0.73 xGA

D 0.43 created, 0.21 conceded against Le Havre
W 2.12 created, 0.38 conceded against Stade Rennais
D 0.61 created, 0.50 conceded against Nice
W 1.53 created, 0.93 conceded against Nantes
W 1.95 created, 1.60 conceded against RC Lens
W 1.51 created, 0.74 conceded against Angers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Paris Saint-Germain: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

AS Monaco 1:0 Paris Saint-Germain 29/11/2025 xG 0.52 – 1.33

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.