Lorient 2:1 RC Lens: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 14/03/2026 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Lorient Home 1.45 xG · 6 shots

RC Lens Away 1.34 xG · 20 shots

21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

18' Ahmadou Bamba Dieng Lorient · 0.79 xG chance 1–0
49' Odsonne Édouard RC Lens · 0.06 xG chance 1–1
65' Aiyegun Tosin Lorient · 0.44 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Lorient RC Lens

Shots: 6; 20
On target: 3; 6
Inside the box: 4; 15
xG per shot: 0.31; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.48; 0.92
Set-piece xG: 1.40; 0.41
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.88 for Lorient and 1.34 for RC Lens.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.21 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lorient
RC Lens
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lorient

1.00 xG created 1.40 xGA

W 0.55 created, 1.05 conceded against Nantes
L 0.77 created, 1.71 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 0.95 created, 0.37 conceded against Angers
D 2.24 created, 3.24 conceded against Nice
D 1.01 created, 1.54 conceded against Auxerre
D 0.45 created, 0.51 conceded against Lille

RC Lens

2.21 xG created 0.92 xGA

W 2.14 created, 0.47 conceded against Le Havre
W 1.18 created, 1.38 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 3.45 created, 0.58 conceded against Paris FC
L 1.60 created, 1.95 conceded against AS Monaco
D 1.68 created, 0.75 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 3.22 created, 0.40 conceded against Metz

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Lorient: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

RC Lens 3:0 Lorient 02/11/2025 xG 2.09 – 1.82

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.