Lorient 2:1 Nantes: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Lorient Home 0.55 xG · 5 shots

Nantes Away 1.05 xG · 10 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

32' Ahmadou Bamba Dieng Lorient · 0.32 xG chance 1–0
74' Matthis Abline Nantes · 0.12 xG chance 1–1
89' Arsène Kouassi Lorient · 0.05 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Lorient Nantes

Shots: 5; 10
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 3; 8
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.49; 0.80
Set-piece xG: 0.05; 0.21
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.55 for Lorient and 1.05 for Nantes.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

15 shots · 1.55 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lorient
Nantes
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lorient

1.60 xG created 0.90 xGA

W 2.38 created, 0.82 conceded against Nice
W 2.57 created, 0.43 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
D 0.53 created, 0.69 conceded against RC Strasbourg
D 1.44 created, 0.41 conceded against Metz
W 1.38 created, 1.25 conceded against AS Monaco
W 1.30 created, 1.83 conceded against Stade Rennais

Nantes

1.33 xG created 1.61 xGA

L 0.86 created, 2.35 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
L 1.19 created, 2.30 conceded against RC Lens
L 0.35 created, 2.39 conceded against Angers
W 3.63 created, 0.75 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
L 0.36 created, 0.97 conceded against Paris FC
L 1.59 created, 0.87 conceded against Nice

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Lorient: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Nantes 1:1 Lorient 23/11/2025 xG 0.84 – 0.32

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.