Olympique de Marseille 0:2 Nantes: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 04/01/2026 at 15:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

Olympique de Marseille Home 0.75 xG · 11 shots

Nantes Away 3.63 xG · 15 shots

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

31' Fabien Centonze Nantes · 0.77 xG chance 0–1
88' Rémy Cabella (pen.) Nantes · 0.82 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Olympique de Marseille Nantes

Shots: 11; 15
On target: 4; 9
Inside the box: 6; 12
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.24
Open play xG: 0.49; 2.33
Set-piece xG: 0.28; 0.52
Penalties: 0; 1

Olympique de Marseille's shots add up to 0.77 xG and Nantes's to 3.67; the published figures are 0.75 and 3.63.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 4.44 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Olympique de Marseille
Nantes
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Olympique de Marseille

1.83 xG created 1.06 xGA

W 0.52 created, 1.17 conceded against Auxerre
W 3.46 created, 0.74 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 2.86 created, 1.19 conceded against Nice
D 1.80 created, 0.70 conceded against Toulouse
L 0.53 created, 0.35 conceded against Lille
W 1.79 created, 2.21 conceded against AS Monaco

Nantes

0.71 xG created 1.61 xGA

L 0.81 created, 1.34 conceded against Metz
D 0.21 created, 0.94 conceded against Le Havre
D 0.84 created, 0.32 conceded against Lorient
L 0.86 created, 2.35 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
L 1.19 created, 2.30 conceded against RC Lens
L 0.35 created, 2.39 conceded against Angers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.